Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2d8ed56f5814b396e4f95e0ebc1f45d9744b4dfffabf0aad00a6f77104d336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 3,493$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.53 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 3,315$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 2,580$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.51 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 2,494$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 2,174$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.77 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 2,102$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.52 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 36c | 1,758$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.96 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 17c | 1,758$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 1,550$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed No | 36c | 1,418$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.42 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 34c | 1,020$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 43c | 828.36$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.74 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 21c | 725.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.78 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 592.2$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 61c | 564.7$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 33c | 460$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 55c | 442.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 355$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 47c | 299.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 78c | 294$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 64c | 271.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 67c | 261$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 250.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 247.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 62c | 231.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 67c | 196.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 21c | 139.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 138.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 132.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 33c | 129.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 41c | 119.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 53c | 109.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 58c | 104.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Yes | 32c | 94.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Yes | 76c | 80.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 74c | 76.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked No | 65c | 75.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 60.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 80c | 60.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 34c | 54.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 38c | 54.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 63c | 47.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 39c | 45.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 40.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 36c | 38.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Yes | 34c | 37.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 40c | 29.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Yes | 69c | 28.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 64c | 28.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 73c | 27.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 48c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 66c | 22.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.