Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88d6a6eb8d5e918d9acd3b797880f2e53e316b846ddea7d47d23641c915cc14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 17c | 623.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 504.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 4c | 470.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 74c | 420.14$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 15c | 308.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 305.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 75c | 264.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 30c | 237.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 8c | 223.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 67c | 209.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 52c | 204.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 40c | 201.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 61c | 174.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…688fbacked No | 48c | 154.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 73c | 152.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…ddc3backed Yes | 74c | 131.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 74c | 122.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 76c | 122.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 54c | 119.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 78c | 112.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 105.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 37c | 99.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 23c | 95.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 57c | 93.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 37c | 92.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked No | 60c | 88.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 48c | 87.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 81.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 62c | 81.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 27c | 78.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 77.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…8434backed Yes | 38c | 73.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 27c | 73.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…bd87backed Yes | 52c | 71.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 27c | 69.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 65.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 39c | 63.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 31c | 61.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 60.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed No | 39c | 59.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…2e92backed Yes | 48c | 58.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 22c | 56.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 36c | 55.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 54.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 65c | 53.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 61c | 53.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 32c | 52.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 54c | 51.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 57c | 50.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 50.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…2970backed No | 66c | 48.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 43c | 48.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 51c | 47.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 44c | 42.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…f1b3backed Yes | 62c | 42.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked No | 27c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed Yes | 56c | 39.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…8d26backed Yes | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 49c | 38.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 58c | 38.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 39c | 36.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 197 | 34%67 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…4ac3backed Yes | 36c | 32.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…0b6cbacked No | 61c | 31.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…7e66backed Yes | 66c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 59c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 36c | 29.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 36c | 29.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 46c | 28.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 60c | 27.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…845fbacked No | 73c | 24.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 51c | 23.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…0062backed Yes | 64c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 58c | 17.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…4bd7backed No | 63c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…72ddbacked No | 67c | 16.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.