Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ea7f8292b0b9aff4faeb60c9e53fb03427bfc18092bc29198a880f7d14ecde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 3,053$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.04 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 1,686$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 42c | 1,340$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.18 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 55c | 1,001$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 948$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 756.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.52 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 696.83$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…4e01backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 663.55$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.59 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 533.18$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 512.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 455$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 442.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 434.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 358.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 317.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 22c | 285.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 266.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 253$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 240.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 205.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 150.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 133$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 46c | 95.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 87.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 25c | 78.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 76.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 68c | 48.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 45.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 40.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 40.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 39.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 36.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 34.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 41c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 46c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…e1d3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 58c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsthis page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.