Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93d3aa87598bc585089ce12a646a4f361dc6ce541788e75739df2988b6de668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 10,263$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 78c | 2,809$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 44c | 977.31$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.23 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 910.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 10c | 903.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 766.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed No | 79c | 731.47$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 38c | 700$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.14 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 8c | 546.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 28c | 539.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 46c | 530.54$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 66c | 520.03$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 30c | 510.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 471.14$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 35c | 392.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 28c | 384.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 368$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 329.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 60c | 321.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 321.15$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 60c | 320.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 57c | 300$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 283.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 67c | 272.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 35c | 270.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…a832backed Yes | 27c | 263.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 31c | 262.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 260.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed No | 61c | 257.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 34c | 241.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 26c | 239.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 32c | 234.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 229.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 30c | 224.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 34c | 220.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 62c | 210.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 194.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 56c | 184.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 33c | 169.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 60c | 165.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 20c | 165.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 27c | 161.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 160.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 158.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 156.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed Yes | 67c | 155.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 64c | 155.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 42c | 151.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 64c | 149.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 148.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 58c | 148.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 143.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 43c | 143.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed No | 69c | 140.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 44c | 138.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 36c | 133.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 45c | 128.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 126.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 30c | 122.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 33c | 120.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 11c | 116.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 30c | 112.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 33c | 110.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 37c | 107.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 34c | 106.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 36c | 99.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 99.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 43c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 38c | 96.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed No | 59c | 96.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 94.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 33c | 91.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 88.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 88.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 87.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 35c | 86.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…044ebacked Yes | 34c | 84.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 83.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 39c | 83.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked No | 60c | 80.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 35c | 80.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 76.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.