Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bb592a2807cf73f294c4d830a7cd6db6e64d3b49b466d1481ebec3ec406e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 13c | 1,381$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 825$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 54c | 732.25$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.42 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 7c | 643.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 35c | 615.53$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.85 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 612.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 13c | 580.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 50c | 569.81$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…8143backed No | 2c | 557$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 37c | 536.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 13c | 507.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 410.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 64c | 402.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 15c | 388.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 368$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed Yes | 68c | 357.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 30c | 348$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 334.18$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 70c | 320.65$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 318.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 51c | 314.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 20c | 302.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…3515backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 286.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 36c | 279.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 277.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 51c | 272.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 37c | 266.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 28c | 256.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 53c | 252.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 48c | 235.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 55c | 233.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 229.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 214.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 209.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed No | 52c | 202.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 6c | 195.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 188.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 183.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 36c | 178.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 50c | 168.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 9c | 158.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 9c | 156.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 32c | 151.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 39c | 150.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 145.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 144.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 56c | 140.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 19c | 139.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 133$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 123.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 122.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 32c | 114.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 47c | 114.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 113.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 110.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 52c | 107.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…0753backed No | 71c | 105.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 34c | 104.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…010bbacked Yes | 46c | 103.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 75c | 103.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 101.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…74b9backed No | 42c | 100.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 50c | 100.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 51c | 100.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 63c | 99.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 99.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 92.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 92.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 85.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 55c | 84.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 49c | 83.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 76.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 71.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed No | 55c | 71.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 69.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 63c | 66.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 39c | 64.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 78c | 61.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1674backed Yes | 64c | 61.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 33c | 61.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 27c | 61.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 36c | 61.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc852…ee43backed Yes | 30c | 60.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 41c | 60.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 58.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 60c | 56.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.