Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7d282ee9b53b1c560f79f372a5047e8e55955648b0b0c8119b93af2d30b376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murkel Dellienof Murkel Dellien, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Murkel Dellien | 55c | 8,010$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.8 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 41c | 4,946$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.03 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Bruno Fernandez | 40c | 4,493$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.52 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Bruno Fernandez | 41c | 2,655$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.88 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bruno Fernandez | 37c | 1,808$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez | 27c | 1,144$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Murkel Dellien | 70c | 712.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Murkel Dellien | 58c | 640.46$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bruno Fernandez | 52c | 600.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Murkel Dellien | 66c | 541.73$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Murkel Dellien | 80c | 511.54$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Murkel Dellien | 65c | 457.47$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 434.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Bruno Fernandez | 15c | 401.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Murkel Dellien | 67c | 384.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Murkel Dellien | 51c | 339.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 299.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Murkel Dellien | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Murkel Dellien | 66c | 272.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bruno Fernandez | 5c | 254$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Murkel Dellien | 72c | 233.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bruno Fernandez | 29c | 227.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 222.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Murkel Dellien | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 203.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 193.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Bruno Fernandez | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bruno Fernandez | 31c | 182.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien | 65c | 167$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Murkel Dellien | 63c | 166.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Murkel Dellien | 68c | 163$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bruno Fernandez | 55c | 147.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Murkel Dellien | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Murkel Dellien | 69c | 125.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 125.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 117.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 112.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 31c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Murkel Dellien | 77c | 107.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 101.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Murkel Dellien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 222 | 43.2%96 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 88.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bruno Fernandez | 17c | 86.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bruno Fernandez | 34c | 86.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Bruno Fernandez | 32c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Murkel Dellien | 56c | 82.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Bruno Fernandez | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Murkel Dellien | 70c | 68.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Murkel Dellien | 78c | 63.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Murkel Dellien | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 346 | 48.3%167 W · 179 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bruno Fernandez | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Murkel Dellien | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 55.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Murkel Dellien | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Murkel Dellien | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 48.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Murkel Dellien | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bruno Fernandez | 27c | 45.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Murkel Dellien | 47c | 40.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Murkel Dellien | 65c | 39.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Bruno Fernandez | 52c | 38.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Murkel Dellien | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Bruno Fernandez | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Murkel Dellien | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bruno Fernandez | 38c | 29.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Murkel Dellien | 79c | 28.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Murkel Dellien | 79c | 27.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Murkel Dellien | 65c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Murkel Dellien | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Murkel Dellien | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Murkel Dellien | 68c | 14.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.