Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Northamptonshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdabd78f345899c186a68e289a762cf450a4d682b7b5e9c7ec0b9f66cf0e7f344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northamptonshireof Warwickshire, Northamptonshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Warwickshire | 31c | 42,972$13,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,351.1 | 365 | 45.5%166 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 8,236$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.14 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Northamptonshire | 60c | 7,401$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.66 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Northamptonshire | 66c | 6,060$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Northamptonshire | 55c | 5,238$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.87 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Warwickshire | 67c | 5,186$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.16 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Northamptonshire | 43c | 4,906$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.17 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Warwickshire | 48c | 3,954$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.28 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Warwickshire | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.79 | 179 | 35.8%64 W · 115 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Northamptonshire | 57c | 2,674$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.63 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Northamptonshire | 44c | 2,539$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.01 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 43c | 2,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Northamptonshire | 30c | 2,090$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.53 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northamptonshire | 54c | 1,959$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.34 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northamptonshire | 49c | 1,791$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.96 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Northamptonshire | 48c | 1,696$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.49 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 47c | 1,627$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Warwickshire | 42c | 1,422$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.13 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Warwickshire | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 1,001$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.77 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…723fbacked Warwickshire | 9c | 896.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 61c | 776.36$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Warwickshire | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Warwickshire | 54c | 701.28$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Northamptonshire | 49c | 628.82$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.17 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northamptonshire | 44c | 502.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Warwickshire | 54c | 455.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Northamptonshire | 43c | 410.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33a6backed Warwickshire | 3c | 399.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Warwickshire | 42c | 310.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Warwickshire | 53c | 285.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Northamptonshire | 55c | 259.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 160 | 66.3%106 W · 54 L | +16.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 56c | 255.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Warwickshire | 57c | 213.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Warwickshire | 29c | 198.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 55c | 153.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 148.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Warwickshire | 60c | 139.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Northamptonshire | 58c | 119.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Northamptonshire | 54c | 109.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Warwickshire | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Northamptonshire | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northamptonshire | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…8b07backed Northamptonshire | 53c | 95.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Northamptonshire | 58c | 83.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Warwickshire | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Northamptonshire | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Warwickshire | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…10c3backed Northamptonshire | 35c | 66.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Northamptonshire | 48c | 63.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Northamptonshire | 41c | 58.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Northamptonshire | 58c | 52.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Warwickshire | 43c | 50.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Warwickshire | 42c | 43.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Warwickshire | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Northamptonshire | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Northamptonshire | 63c | 39.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…a7c1backed Northamptonshire | 53c | 37.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…bcb7backed Warwickshire | 51c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Warwickshire | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Warwickshire | 43c | 34.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…a6edbacked Warwickshire | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Warwickshire | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Northamptonshire | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Northamptonshire | 60c | 28.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Northamptonshire | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Northamptonshire | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…8a84backed Northamptonshire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…97b0backed Northamptonshire | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Northamptonshire | 62c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…d9f2backed Warwickshire | 71c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.