Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf04352654564776b573f386692af9afbdf3c85542c24a00eaa6d678380e0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof Southern Utah Thunderbirds, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 3c | 21,430$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 46c | 3,442$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.79 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 27c | 3,050$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.13 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 2,706$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 2,413$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 12c | 1,503$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 28c | 1,465$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 1,128$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 71c | 749.33$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 718.63$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 47c | 622.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 38c | 537.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 28c | 410.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 63c | 400$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 338$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 325.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 324$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 291.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 272.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 55c | 198.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 64c | 110.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 71c | 99.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 88.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 43c | 79.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 73c | 75.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 42c | 49.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 48.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 46.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 59c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 44.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 39.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 47c | 30.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.