Movies · resolved market
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 60-69?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb3d97ada2399f53dc90e126509e781e4722c0e2ae10cc9f83eeb6eb7cc5ce41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 67c | 6,983$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.25 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 25c | 4,757$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.03 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…f013backed No | 2c | 4,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 36c | 4,278$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 13c | 2,464$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.71 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 66c | 1,793$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0d0ebacked No | 2c | 1,141$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 913.41$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 14c | 781.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 67c | 700.11$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…0818backed Yes | 8c | 590.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.1 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 75c | 472$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…3086backed No | 5c | 367.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 16c | 365.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…7a8dbacked Yes | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…5cb0backed No | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 32c | 315.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 71c | 276.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 4c | 238$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 31c | 207.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed No | 80c | 207.34$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…d695backed No | 33c | 184$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4e11backed Yes | 67c | 184$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 30c | 180.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 68c | 179.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…8ae4backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked No | 78c | 125.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…6bf6backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…0dcabacked No | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…6b0cbacked Yes | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…b8e1backed No | 13c | 87.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…752dbacked Yes | 70c | 73.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…80d9backed Yes | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…413bbacked No | 31c | 66.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…4e93backed Yes | 69c | 64.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…d3c1backed No | 32c | 64.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…c934backed No | 33c | 63.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…39febacked No | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked No | 54c | 55.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…d108backed Yes | 69c | 41.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 27c | 39.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfa…5720backed Yes | 69c | 38.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…174ebacked Yes | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…6067backed Yes | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed Yes | 71c | 28.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…153bbacked Yes | 70c | 24.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…c100backed Yes | 70c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…7c56backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…79a6backed Yes | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 60-69?this page
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?No won
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?No won
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 80-84?No won
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 85-89?No won
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 90 or more?No won
- Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of less than 60?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.