Tennis · resolved market
Lexington: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Federico Cina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcda29073a2f3add02b3d044e719c4ea5ddd64a1cb0d98fb38bccef03f13fba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abedallah Shelbayhof Abedallah Shelbayh, Federico Cina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Cina | 65c | 9,065$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 7,374$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 73c | 4,494$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.34 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Federico Cina | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Federico Cina | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Federico Cina | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 42c | 949.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 39c | 852.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Cina | 39c | 701.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Federico Cina | 58c | 389.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Cina | 50c | 377.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Federico Cina | 17c | 344.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Federico Cina | 68c | 262.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Federico Cina | 50c | 232.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Federico Cina | 53c | 225.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 40c | 209.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 51c | 194.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Federico Cina | 53c | 163.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Federico Cina | 62c | 141.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 37c | 131.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Federico Cina | 56c | 131.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 49c | 128.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 118.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Federico Cina | 60c | 112.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 21c | 104.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 43c | 101.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Federico Cina | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Federico Cina | 78c | 87.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 37c | 87.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Federico Cina | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Federico Cina | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Federico Cina | 37c | 74.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 66c | 73.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 40c | 73.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 71.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 48c | 68.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina | 67c | 68.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 56c | 65.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Federico Cina | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…6ba2backed Federico Cina | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 44c | 56.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Federico Cina | 59c | 50.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Federico Cina | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Federico Cina | 57c | 49.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 35c | 47.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 44c | 41.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Federico Cina | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 65c | 38.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 33c | 35.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Federico Cina | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Federico Cina | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Federico Cina | 63c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Federico Cina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…26adbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Federico Cina | 59c | 28.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 39c | 28.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Federico Cina | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 57c | 27.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Federico Cina | 58c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 66c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Federico Cina | 68c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.