Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0797070f8e5459ee1953dbad134b6e9a75e069b2d8787f77457e517a6740ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9652…1ab4backed No | 1c | 4,950$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,072$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 22c | 714.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…b863backed Yes | 76c | 468.35$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 461.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 436.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…3ad8backed Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…b428backed Yes | 35c | 382.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 315$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 289.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 66c | 254.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 27c | 200.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 182$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 176.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 58c | 174.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 39c | 158.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 25c | 137.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 37c | 121.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…44d7backed Yes | 25c | 92.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked No | 56c | 90.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 46c | 87.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 86.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 85.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…1590backed Yes | 57c | 78.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 23c | 66.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked Yes | 39c | 60.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 24c | 56.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…2231backed Yes | 29c | 53.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 34c | 52.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked No | 40c | 44.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 33c | 39.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 44c | 38.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…63dfbacked Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 47c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 72c | 29.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…62afbacked No | 76c | 19.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…312bbacked Yes | 69c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…7e72backed No | 79c | 16.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…a73abacked No | 76c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…9cddbacked No | 80c | 13.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…430cbacked No | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.