TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc23d…82c8backed No3c17,733$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c14,869$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.745042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c5,700$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No54c4,900$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6461,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.444445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c4,231$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No16c2,682$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9416041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes46c1,923$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.422,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No54c1,889$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes61c1,795$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.499144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c1,594$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No54c1,501$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.241,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No29c1,303$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1121630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No18c1,025$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.548328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Yes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed No54c997.44$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6212947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes50c902$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Yes64c702.61$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.615749.1%28 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.319957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No53c500.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No55c494.47$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.632,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.632,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed No55c422.25$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2413337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b9…a053backed Yes47c386.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.088342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c356.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No23c299.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c229.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes45c225.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.897038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.398540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3934537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.547136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes45c149.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4927434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No11c148$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2834035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…25c0backed No7c142.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c137.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.461,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5457252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…90c9backed Yes50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes46c92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.689150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x044b…8a2cbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+60.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ffd…d98bbacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204027.5%11 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7421048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No56c65.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9242853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.445949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Yes70c55.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4215959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2739956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4820942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ec…0a9bbacked Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.646247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…ee82backed Yes75c39.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.946457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0e…c22fbacked Yes46c36.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6166745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6130148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Yes46c28.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4613941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.427767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc53c…37e7backed Yes51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No49c25.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c24.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.337850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd650…bbd5backed Yes46c23.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes66c22.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8317945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No55c22.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.519069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f55…22b9backed No55c21.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616663.9%106 W · 60 L+20.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…bcf7backed No56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7636953.9%199 W · 170 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x378a…09e2backed No55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.557860.3%47 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e60…282ebacked No55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x997f…f379backed No55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.555540%22 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24c…412abacked No55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.554748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd0…9fc7backed No55c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27241.7%30 W · 42 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed No55c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9327663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed No55c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9322957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.846453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.825655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.