TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No76c28,315$21,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,655.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes28c14,673$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.4522437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes27c8,036$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.72,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c7,345$5,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.2274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c6,901$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c5,279$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c4,693$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes20c4,446$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.682,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes5c2,693$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes15c2,552$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c2,240$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.553,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c2,062$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes28c2,011$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1835514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes28c1,955$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No73c1,613$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.251,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c1,478$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39446223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes16c856$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7821630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes8c750.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No72c686.78$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.31,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c642.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c563.11$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.261,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes29c539.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0354917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Yes19c513$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.472313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes28c474.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9427520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No70c438.17$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes13c411.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c407.06$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.744,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes17c388.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.162,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c294.51$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.322,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes13c259.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No74c246.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0515156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Yes30c238.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4536448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No74c200.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No72c180$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No75c178.37$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5938351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes27c174.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721022.4%47 W · 163 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes16c163.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2628127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No74c154$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes10c145.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5313119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes17c112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015145%68 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed No73c100.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2213941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277720.8%16 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2936534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes18c94.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481659.7%16 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.323540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e52…ec62backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No78c65.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…c659backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No76c54.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d2e…f022backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54727.7%13 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112540%50 W · 75 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No74c38.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No74c23.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.151,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No73c22.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9432245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9425748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e60…282ebacked No73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.422957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.427663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3325655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked No72c19.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3836558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No73c18.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No74c16.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.