Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3b6ca45cd4d66e5d1d9f2f3d72ba62791d8747d2a9f00cf401bef7dd983765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 19,257$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 18,196$14,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 9,489$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 7,748$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 5,662$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 26c | 2,200$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 27c | 807.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 721.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 604.24$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 15c | 591.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 28c | 540.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 523.54$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 79c | 487.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 26c | 429.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 25c | 250.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 12c | 235.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 29c | 200.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 15c | 172.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 71c | 169.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 165.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 70c | 129.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 70c | 128.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 86.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…b685backed Yes | 27c | 55.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 51.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 38.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 74c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e60…282ebacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?this page
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.