Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde7a26adc4f1c04d72b3212dd52e81daf562579107e0cf3cd936b75455d2fa7

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes	52c	1,366$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.39	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86d…2e76backed No	4c	277.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	40c	250$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.01	1,076	23.5%253 W · 823 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x019c…e8d2backed Yes	63c	244.38$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.12	565	43.5%246 W · 319 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	45c	225$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	12,173	46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L	-42.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	12c	208$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	621	9.8%61 W · 560 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	48c	205.94$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	4,117	47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L	-158.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0947…9e92backed Yes	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	581	52%302 W · 279 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	52c	183.37$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.86	583	58%338 W · 245 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes	39c	177.28$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.28	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Yes	43c	177.24$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.03	2,877	55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L	-59.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…4745backed Yes	59c	173.54$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.4	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91f7…932cbacked No	20c	162.24$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9da…f9debacked Yes	75c	160$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	59	93.2%55 W · 4 L	+21.7wins	+0.37per pick	56cpaid	+80.4%equal weight	79+0.26 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked Yes	58c	160$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.32	560	48%269 W · 291 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4a…a5a5backed Yes	28c	160$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.96	35	94.3%33 W · 2 L	+13.8wins	+0.40per pick	55cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	76+0.23 edge/pick
0xe445…8750backed No	47c	150.94$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.94	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-5.8wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	49c	149.73$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	4,142	54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L	-16.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c70…34c4backed No	43c	124.95$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	168	47.6%80 W · 88 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	58c	121.38$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.29	4,988	49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L	-155.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	50c	120.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	2,086	51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L	-45.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed No	45c	109.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	10,354	37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L	+417.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ed…156fbacked No	48c	105$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	59c	103.75$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	9,490	45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L	-278.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	13c	102.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	6,592	53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L	+400.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2797…9bc0backed No	44c	101.21$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.87	181	42.5%77 W · 104 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…147ebacked Yes	45c	100.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.53	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	58c	100.06$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	1,543	60.5%934 W · 609 L	-19.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7faa…c757backed No	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad9…2647backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc196…4af6backed No	54c	96.07$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	270	56.7%153 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes	52c	96.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.18	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	38c	95.4$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	7,481	37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L	+97.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes	58c	94.83$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.83	144	52.8%76 W · 68 L	+20.6wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	77c	92.63$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.38	1,428	52.1%744 W · 684 L	-21.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	54c	86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.38	5,631	59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L	-111.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd514…bbdfbacked No	44c	85.64$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	579	48.4%280 W · 299 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f9…8055backed No	52c	85.23$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.94	905	55.6%503 W · 402 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f30…f8debacked Yes	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	3,830	47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L	+63.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes	59c	72.61$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.65	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes	40c	70.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.19	755	46.1%348 W · 407 L	-32.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	54c	68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	4,547	58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L	-107.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b9…a35ebacked No	60c	66.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	67c	61.14$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	2,075	58.9%1,223 W · 852 L	+102.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c90…17efbacked Yes	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	288	47.2%136 W · 152 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3d…0a55backed Yes	44c	56.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	144	34%49 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2c…5890backed No	37c	53.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	58cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,991	52.3%1,042 W · 949 L	-76.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa5…c42fbacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af9…3144backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	219	50.7%111 W · 108 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c54…02e9backed No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	425	47.5%202 W · 223 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…3cc9backed No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	701	48.4%339 W · 362 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989e…aa30backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8710…f9c7backed Yes	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…cf77backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-13.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc743…4cb7backed No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	98	48%47 W · 51 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	155	45.2%70 W · 85 L	-13.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01e3…c67fbacked No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…866abacked No	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31a…8817backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	721	25.5%184 W · 537 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	55c	49.88$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	56c	49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.34	5,389	56%3,017 W · 2,372 L	-120.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	53c	46.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	2,093	57.1%1,196 W · 897 L	+71.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5174…8a39backed Yes	44c	45.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.36	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234c…90dbbacked Yes	34c	43.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	581	38.9%226 W · 355 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	60c	43.34$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,126	51.2%577 W · 549 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec62…9191backed Yes	43c	41.74$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	1,102	40.7%448 W · 654 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7328…dbffbacked Yes	35c	41.07$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.85	1,122	24.4%274 W · 848 L	+24.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	63c	40.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	2,118	58.2%1,233 W · 885 L	+78.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb286…aac7backed No	38c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…d0bcbacked No	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a1…a26bbacked Yes	58c	39.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…d496backed Yes	50c	39.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.75	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes	40c	38.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	3,642	65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L	+33.6wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	58c	37.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	1,243	52.5%652 W · 591 L	-18.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	71c	34.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	2,068	55.9%1,156 W · 912 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b7…aceabacked No	45c	33.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…ddd0backed No	64c	32.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	466	67.6%315 W · 151 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+334.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f7…f8debacked Yes	40c	30.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	287	42.5%122 W · 165 L	+24.3wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb53…fde7backed Yes	64c	30.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	259	54.1%140 W · 119 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	2,010	61.5%1,237 W · 773 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65c7…e100backed Yes	44c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	227	44.1%100 W · 127 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca4…118dbacked Yes	66c	28.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed No	49c	28.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef0…62e0backed No	40c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	190	52.1%99 W · 91 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5296…39cdbacked Yes	51c	27.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.49	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…769cbacked No	44c	26.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd212…5182backed Yes	56c	26.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf907…55d7backed No	50c	25.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked No	79c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	92	72.8%67 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	74cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabc…f582backed Yes	43c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd670…1e02backed No	79c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	222	65.8%146 W · 76 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…cd07backed No	45c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	2,311	57.7%1,334 W · 977 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?this page
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C or higher on June 26?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event