Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac70d3b02ec0d304739a7ff6ec6fd0fda1ab8f8c93770016171e0d0c696436da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 2,704$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.39 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed No | 47c | 1,777$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.51 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 43c | 1,666$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.64 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,406$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 1,214$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 56c | 441.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.82 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Yes | 24c | 416$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 40c | 355.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…54bcbacked No | 73c | 337.48$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 16c | 296.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 59c | 285.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…932cbacked Yes | 16c | 262.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 44c | 198.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked Yes | 42c | 157$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 152$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 19c | 142.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 138.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 41c | 120.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 62c | 112.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 110.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 102.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 100.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 23c | 92.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 17c | 89.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 35c | 89.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 59c | 84.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 77c | 78.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 66.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d640backed No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 60.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 22c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…070fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 40c | 56.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 75c | 56.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 49.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 35c | 48.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 66c | 42.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…0b4ebacked No | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 42.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 43c | 36.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 32.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…8d64backed No | 67c | 31.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…72e3backed Yes | 34c | 31.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…e571backed No | 64c | 31.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 33c | 30.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 68c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 62c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…5269backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…49c3backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…f582backed Yes | 44c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 69c | 24.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…33d9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…3de5backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 65c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 78c | 17.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…b207backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.