Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf6aa2bc7b266e4d1785ef720c0d3ae195e54d35f07fb91d5e0b87b732c2999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 1,324$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.12 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 1,031$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 38c | 716.43$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 61c | 607.25$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 36c | 342.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 329.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…3ef1backed No | 64c | 250.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 62c | 235.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 38c | 227.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 210.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 56c | 208.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 62c | 169.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 62c | 167.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 45c | 162$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 56c | 153.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 141.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 46c | 130.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 46c | 130.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 46c | 127.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 120.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 37c | 111.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 51c | 97.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 54c | 96.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 58c | 90.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 83.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 57c | 76.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 75.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 37c | 73.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 69.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 62.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 39c | 60.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…1439backed Yes | 35c | 56.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 42.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 62c | 41.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 41c | 39.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 27c | 38.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 42c | 37.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 60c | 37.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 64c | 36.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed Yes | 37c | 36.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Yes | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 34.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 32.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Yes | 38c | 31.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 30.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 40c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 37c | 27.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 54c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…144dbacked No | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -19.6wins | -0.33per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.