CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde04fc8cde8b7feb572d02d2b23f28f4fcc6135055af1a3f4cbdb381af7c42d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof BESTIA, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed AaB Esport | 57c | 2,182$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.67 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed BESTIA | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AaB Esport | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked BESTIA | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BESTIA | 53c | 1,230$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked BESTIA | 53c | 1,087$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.29 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked BESTIA | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed BESTIA | 10c | 858.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked AaB Esport | 34c | 754.1$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.25 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BESTIA | 59c | 651.18$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 39c | 613.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed AaB Esport | 38c | 549.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BESTIA | 11c | 502$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed BESTIA | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed BESTIA | 66c | 476.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked AaB Esport | 51c | 456.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AaB Esport | 39c | 454.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 64c | 446.83$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked AaB Esport | 62c | 426.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked BESTIA | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 7c | 385$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed BESTIA | 66c | 379.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked AaB Esport | 40c | 373.12$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked BESTIA | 65c | 373.09$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BESTIA | 26c | 340.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed AaB Esport | 47c | 331.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked AaB Esport | 55c | 323.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BESTIA | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked AaB Esport | 49c | 249.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AaB Esport | 40c | 249.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BESTIA | 44c | 246.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA | 43c | 230.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BESTIA | 14c | 191$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked AaB Esport | 38c | 179.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed BESTIA | 54c | 173.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed AaB Esport | 48c | 152.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked BESTIA | 37c | 146.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA | 57c | 141.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 50c | 136.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked AaB Esport | 62c | 124.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AaB Esport | 36c | 121.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 68c | 120.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked BESTIA | 62c | 107.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed AaB Esport | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed AaB Esport | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AaB Esport | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BESTIA | 73c | 93.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed BESTIA | 20c | 89.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BESTIA | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed BESTIA | 58c | 87.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BESTIA | 53c | 82.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed AaB Esport | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 64c | 78.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked AaB Esport | 61c | 78.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BESTIA | 65c | 66.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 65c | 66.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Esport | 62c | 57.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AaB Esport | 37c | 52.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed AaB Esport | 39c | 51.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BESTIA | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed AaB Esport | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AaB Esport | 60c | 46.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed BESTIA | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked BESTIA | 64c | 38.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AaB Esport | 64c | 36.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed BESTIA | 40c | 36.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed BESTIA | 47c | 26.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked BESTIA | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA | 55c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BESTIA | 73c | 25.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BESTIA | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked AaB Esport | 48c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked BESTIA | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed BESTIA | 66c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed AaB Esport | 67c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.