NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Froelunda HC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf34f0264e86ed8a996f432bae70de4e7d196c96e440cf3565e681e85f695008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Froelunda HC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Froelunda HC | 4c | 21,995$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…f349backed Luleaa | 47c | 9,990$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…1006backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 9,851$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Froelunda HC | 39c | 4,856$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.94 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Froelunda HC | 31c | 4,164$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Froelunda HC | 42c | 1,753$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.58 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Froelunda HC | 48c | 1,711$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.44 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked Froelunda HC | 37c | 1,069$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Froelunda HC | 40c | 901.95$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Luleaa | 64c | 651.99$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Froelunda HC | 41c | 517.96$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Froelunda HC | 38c | 393.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Froelunda HC | 46c | 340.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 325$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 320.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Froelunda HC | 38c | 248.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Froelunda HC | 36c | 213.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Luleaa | 65c | 146.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 139$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Luleaa | 27c | 135$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Luleaa | 45c | 126.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Froelunda HC | 39c | 122.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Froelunda HC | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…832fbacked Luleaa | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Froelunda HC | 40c | 98.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Luleaa | 46c | 74.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Luleaa | 56c | 74.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Froelunda HC | 54c | 69.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Froelunda HC | 51c | 65.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 64.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Luleaa | 66c | 57.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed Froelunda HC | 36c | 54.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Froelunda HC | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Froelunda HC | 39c | 52.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Froelunda HC | 68c | 49.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Froelunda HC | 55c | 44.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Froelunda HC | 23c | 43.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Froelunda HC | 38c | 40.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Froelunda HC | 40c | 38.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Luleaa | 54c | 35.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1a…6d95backed Luleaa | 38c | 32.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4198backed Luleaa | 80c | 31.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Froelunda HC | 39c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Luleaa | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Froelunda HC | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Froelunda HC | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Luleaa | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.