TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Sofia Kenin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katerina Siniakovaof Katerina Siniakova, Sofia Kenin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,314 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sofia Kenin55c14,168$7,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.872,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sofia Kenin38c10,233$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.751,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Katerina Siniakova59c8,798$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Sofia Kenin73c5,488$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katerina Siniakova40c5,472$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Katerina Siniakova52c4,838$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.12,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Katerina Siniakova29c4,221$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.6998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Katerina Siniakova77c3,701$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Katerina Siniakova32c2,410$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.126,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sofia Kenin29c2,250$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.222,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sofia Kenin36c2,188$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.432,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Katerina Siniakova29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1411342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Katerina Siniakova31c1,714$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.941,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sofia Kenin35c1,277$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5738133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Katerina Siniakova53c1,238$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.2744038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sofia Kenin16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Katerina Siniakova69c1,137$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.321,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Katerina Siniakova22c930.29$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.5632031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Katerina Siniakova65c873.63$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.772,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sofia Kenin26c794.78$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.032,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Sofia Kenin31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Katerina Siniakova69c612.2$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.541,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Katerina Siniakova19c599.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sofia Kenin30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sofia Kenin46c476.22$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.276,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sofia Kenin29c469.62$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Sofia Kenin64c463.53$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29517646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Katerina Siniakova64c415.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Sofia Kenin49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Katerina Siniakova59c374.96$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.084,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Sofia Kenin32c363.41$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1512536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Katerina Siniakova69c363$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.641,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Katerina Siniakova66c350$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Sofia Kenin74c338.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Katerina Siniakova67c303.03$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Katerina Siniakova32c235$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9526349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Sofia Kenin35c223.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7716437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Sofia Kenin66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13260943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Katerina Siniakova28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Katerina Siniakova65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Sofia Kenin51c192.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.284139%16 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sofia Kenin14c190.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sofia Kenin41c185.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Sofia Kenin71c180.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Katerina Siniakova70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Katerina Siniakova31c128$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.041,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Katerina Siniakova79c113.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Katerina Siniakova32c107.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6714541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Katerina Siniakova71c102.48$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9829461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Katerina Siniakova32c101.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0853752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Sofia Kenin78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.91,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Sofia Kenin30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Katerina Siniakova74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2677967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Sofia Kenin30c99.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Katerina Siniakova58c97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Sofia Kenin73c95.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Sofia Kenin16c90.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4615151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Katerina Siniakova71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5132649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Katerina Siniakova51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0134744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed Katerina Siniakova15c78.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+136.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Katerina Siniakova33c78.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3824244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Katerina Siniakova26c77.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9227546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Katerina Siniakova67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6243353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Katerina Siniakova34c74.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Sofia Kenin34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Sofia Kenin30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Sofia Kenin36c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0460055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Katerina Siniakova72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Katerina Siniakova71c56.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.359656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Katerina Siniakova71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.346767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Katerina Siniakova51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4937342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Katerina Siniakova25c53.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.653,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sofia Kenin26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Katerina Siniakova64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Katerina Siniakova68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0828764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Katerina Siniakova71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2520664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Katerina Siniakova41c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0127552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sofia Kenin69c38.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4561953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Katerina Siniakova71c37.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.913,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Katerina Siniakova59c35.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4970148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sofia Kenin69c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.154,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Sofia Kenin34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Katerina Siniakova57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6214458.3%84 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Sofia Kenin39c31.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Sofia Kenin32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103423.5%8 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Sofia Kenin76c29.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6621172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Katerina Siniakova70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5724563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Katerina Siniakova71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1716858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sofia Kenin40c25.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ea…2aacbacked Katerina Siniakova60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107261.1%44 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Sofia Kenin70c21.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Katerina Siniakova62c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.728252.4%43 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Katerina Siniakova69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.213157.3%75 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Katerina Siniakova72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.719762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sofia Kenin58c17.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.377,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sofia Kenin69c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7325957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.