MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe119e9a7af9cf4f0fb65770f4792171a14b73dfa837759b13913ead8a2d0103b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 17,275$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,774.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 16,654$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.48 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 5,903$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 3,786$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 55c | 2,991$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.88 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 2,292$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 2,104$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,359$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 56c | 1,296$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 1,267$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 54c | 734.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 640.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.62 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 619.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 291$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 214.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 24c | 187$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 62c | 184$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 27c | 177.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 46c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 123.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 9c | 122.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 21c | 94.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 89.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 81.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 26c | 69.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 46c | 67.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 29c | 59.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 24c | 52.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Over | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 46.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Under | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 37.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 39c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…3096backed Under | 53c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Over | 51c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 31.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 57c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 78c | 25.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over | 76c | 24.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 54c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…918fbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.