TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Marco Cecchinato

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marco Cecchinatoof Gustavo Heide, Marco Cecchinato
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf12f…b30fbacked Marco Cecchinato30c3,332$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.1470041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Gustavo Heide70c2,591$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.013,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Marco Cecchinato68c2,540$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.5894068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gustavo Heide19c2,195$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.828,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a4…4917backed Gustavo Heide26c2,142$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.543735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Marco Cecchinato63c1,898$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0527148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Gustavo Heide18c1,862$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0622939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Gustavo Heide39c1,422$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8948855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Marco Cecchinato30c1,250$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87530639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Marco Cecchinato62c1,016$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2130847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Gustavo Heide4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Marco Cecchinato71c938.09$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.393,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato68c675.99$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.795,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Marco Cecchinato72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5638557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marco Cecchinato70c528.33$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Marco Cecchinato67c510$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.247651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gustavo Heide40c500.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.199,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Gustavo Heide33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Gustavo Heide70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805151%26 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gustavo Heide48c385.1$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.328,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Marco Cecchinato30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Marco Cecchinato29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2132,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Marco Cecchinato69c299.36$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.751,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Marco Cecchinato29c269.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.691,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Gustavo Heide32c253.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Marco Cecchinato70c229.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Gustavo Heide31c222.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marco Cecchinato44c201.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.374,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Marco Cecchinato71c197.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Gustavo Heide23c185.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4336640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Gustavo Heide32c185.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Gustavo Heide70c178$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.61,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Marco Cecchinato67c170$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.541,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Gustavo Heide33c165.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Gustavo Heide32c163.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.851,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Gustavo Heide46c161.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.579646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Gustavo Heide33c160.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1327836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Marco Cecchinato69c146.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gustavo Heide70c126.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.673,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Marco Cecchinato30c126.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.679832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Gustavo Heide32c125.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gustavo Heide38c122.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.371,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Gustavo Heide12c121.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marco Cecchinato65c113.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.346,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Marco Cecchinato29c113.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.83,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gustavo Heide33c110.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.582,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Marco Cecchinato29c106.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.954,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Gustavo Heide33c106.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.581,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Marco Cecchinato70c106.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.869961.6%61 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Heide71c100.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.293,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Marco Cecchinato67c95.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.551,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Gustavo Heide37c90.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.471,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Marco Cecchinato29c89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1932546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c7…0bb4backed Gustavo Heide71c86.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gustavo Heide51c81.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.628,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Gustavo Heide31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Gustavo Heide31c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Marco Cecchinato67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6339469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe077…d1d6backed Marco Cecchinato30c73.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gustavo Heide26c72.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.754,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Gustavo Heide34c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3697852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Gustavo Heide33c70.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Marco Cecchinato70c69.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8922059.5%131 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Gustavo Heide42c66.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2836157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gustavo Heide29c65.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Gustavo Heide28c63.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8823942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Gustavo Heide32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Gustavo Heide45c61.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.757835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Marco Cecchinato66c57.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5236545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Marco Cecchinato64c57.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7538066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Gustavo Heide31c55.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.181,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Gustavo Heide39c54.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.172,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…7bf8backed Gustavo Heide71c53.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Gustavo Heide35c51.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Gustavo Heide39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Marco Cecchinato67c45.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Marco Cecchinato69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bde…ecbabacked Marco Cecchinato68c41.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.152962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Marco Cecchinato45c38.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3487060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Gustavo Heide32c37.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2860452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Marco Cecchinato30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6729237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gustavo Heide56c35.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0174346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gustavo Heide42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Gustavo Heide40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Marco Cecchinato69c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7923536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb33b…61c4backed Marco Cecchinato56c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Marco Cecchinato72c24.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7946155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Marco Cecchinato72c23.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.532,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b2…1cbfbacked Marco Cecchinato67c20.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3e…a6dbbacked Gustavo Heide71c19.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Gustavo Heide69c17.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1535457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caa…1d87backed Gustavo Heide72c17.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.595180.4%41 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Gustavo Heide63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.