Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37aef0027fc5d184a839e1f6dc59129e7b0aaf1ef040639f06cd4f337d3be89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d66…4b25backed Yes | 0c | 5,024$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 69c | 1,098$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.29 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 1,022$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 37c | 621.69$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 54c | 472.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked No | 62c | 396.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 378.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 356.63$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 335.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 60c | 335.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 63c | 297.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 30c | 294.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 289.37$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed No | 66c | 279.06$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 40c | 264.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 60c | 243.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 66c | 239.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 230.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 45c | 205.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked Yes | 36c | 204.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked Yes | 5c | 202.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 15c | 190.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 46c | 177.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…792dbacked Yes | 51c | 176.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…38b3backed Yes | 46c | 173.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 164.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 50c | 161.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 26c | 159.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 150.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 30c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 149.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…06f8backed Yes | 35c | 149.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 144.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 33c | 144.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 62c | 143.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 141.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 69c | 139.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 37c | 138.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 129.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 77c | 128.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 123.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 122.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 42c | 119.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 65c | 119.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c09…3f91backed Yes | 40c | 111.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…9059backed Yes | 38c | 110.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 25c | 102.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 64c | 102.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 39c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 101.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 63c | 101.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 55c | 100.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 40c | 99.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 16c | 98.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 61c | 98.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 65c | 97.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 38c | 89.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed No | 64c | 82.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 73c | 79.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 58c | 76.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 38c | 75.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 63c | 75.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 61c | 75.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 36c | 73.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…b11bbacked Yes | 46c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bf…7b37backed Yes | 42c | 72.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 60c | 72.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 44c | 72.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 50c | 69.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…d717backed No | 58c | 68.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 62c | 68.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 43c | 66.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 57c | 64.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 39c | 61.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 66c | 61.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…08febacked Yes | 73c | 61.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 39c | 59.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 51c | 58.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 57.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 37c | 56.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.