MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40ea62017a3d275e30c2072ce837984fa06be04e50c4afeb831360191e4ecac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b2…87afbacked Cardinals | 41c | 9,998$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…c7f8backed Phillies | 59c | 9,998$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,898.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Phillies | 54c | 4,958$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.89 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Phillies | 1c | 4,904$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Cardinals | 49c | 3,410$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.07 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…9ee3backed Phillies | 59c | 2,905$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…6237backed Cardinals | 41c | 2,904$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,301$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Phillies | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Cardinals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…5d3dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 57c | 1,789$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.45 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Phillies | 59c | 1,512$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.08 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…bfdbbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7deebacked Phillies | 59c | 983$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 60c | 945.93$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.56 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Phillies | 59c | 932$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…c8ecbacked Phillies | 59c | 868$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 752.81$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 40c | 665.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 40c | 625.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cardinals | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Phillies | 58c | 511.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 41c | 416.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 61c | 392.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Phillies | 55c | 392.63$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 236.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 58c | 214.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 44c | 200.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 57c | 148.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 42c | 144.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 43c | 143.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Phillies | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Phillies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cardinals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…447dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Cardinals | 37c | 92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 58c | 77.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cardinals | 45c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…0218backed Cardinals | 42c | 56.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…2f47backed Cardinals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…49a2backed Cardinals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…4148backed Phillies | 59c | 47.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 60c | 42.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…bec3backed Phillies | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Cardinals | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…620cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…b942backed Phillies | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…7adabacked Cardinals | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Phillies | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…8099backed Cardinals | 42c | 29.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed Cardinals | 43c | 28.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…cc00backed Cardinals | 43c | 28.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…d19dbacked Phillies | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Phillies | 59c | 26.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…b62abacked Phillies | 59c | 25.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…7707backed Cardinals | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…3838backed Cardinals | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…a0c7backed Phillies | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0d68backed Phillies | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…d43dbacked Phillies | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…d2e3backed Phillies | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…88bfbacked Phillies | 59c | 21.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Phillies | 59c | 21.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…ac9fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Phillies | 59c | 21.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 61c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.