College Football · resolved market
Spread: Wyoming (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4bbf64ab6da3289207cc77a7ece5f99620ebcb191d03fcd2146f88ca0b00907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Wyoming, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Wyoming | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Wyoming | 54c | 26,280$14,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,116.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 20,999$10,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.38 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 20,300$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Wyoming | 50c | 15,000$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,550 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 13,047$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.38 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 10,798$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 8,267$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.16 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wyoming | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 5,666$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.59 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wyoming | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wyoming | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.94 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wyoming | 53c | 2,230$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.2 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 1,520$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.53 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 1,228$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.35 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 1,178$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wyoming | 51c | 983.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Wyoming | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Wyoming | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Wyoming | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wyoming | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 387.4$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Wyoming | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wyoming | 51c | 347$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Wyoming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Wyoming | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wyoming | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Wyoming | 52c | 176.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Wyoming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 90.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a68…af3bbacked Wyoming | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 28.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Wyoming | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Wyoming | 50c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…daa6backed Wyoming | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Wyoming | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wyoming (-6.5)this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. WyomingNevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.