TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Cary: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yosuke Watanukiof Yosuke Watanuki, Andre Ilagan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94bb…77eebacked Andre Ilagan4c3,400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Yosuke Watanuki55c2,332$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.2363556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andre Ilagan38c1,885$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Andre Ilagan49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90072040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yosuke Watanuki48c1,182$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.256927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yosuke Watanuki51c1,154$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.23,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yosuke Watanuki51c1,077$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.741,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yosuke Watanuki51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.351,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Andre Ilagan50c816.77$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.735,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andre Ilagan41c748.07$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.888,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yosuke Watanuki46c678$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.481,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Andre Ilagan30c655.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.745,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Ilagan48c627.9$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.56,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Andre Ilagan67c590.47$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yosuke Watanuki49c577.85$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.014,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Andre Ilagan13c561.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2459721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Andre Ilagan48c481.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.011,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Andre Ilagan54c480$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1675543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andre Ilagan37c429.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.246,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d9…65c9backed Andre Ilagan57c423.14$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Andre Ilagan49c416$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8630132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Andre Ilagan50c356.44$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.872,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andre Ilagan8c353.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.228,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andre Ilagan10c353.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.535,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Andre Ilagan7c342$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.922,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Yosuke Watanuki50c286.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.281,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Yosuke Watanuki53c272.53$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.083,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yosuke Watanuki47c271.72$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.013,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yosuke Watanuki33c234.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.676,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Andre Ilagan53c231.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5824450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Yosuke Watanuki48c226.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8959157.7%341 W · 250 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yosuke Watanuki65c221.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.91,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Yosuke Watanuki49c216.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4728237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Andre Ilagan44c208.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9117156.7%97 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Yosuke Watanuki48c203.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7699255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Andre Ilagan47c180.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.289924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c2…4302backed Andre Ilagan54c164.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Andre Ilagan21c159.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.873,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yosuke Watanuki51c158.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yosuke Watanuki47c148.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.343,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Andre Ilagan66c147.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5143062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Andre Ilagan48c140.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6621841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yosuke Watanuki35c123.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.923,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Andre Ilagan56c111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6892352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Andre Ilagan53c110.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yosuke Watanuki51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2338931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Andre Ilagan57c106.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Andre Ilagan49c102.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andre Ilagan48c97.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.146,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Andre Ilagan54c94.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.084,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Yosuke Watanuki65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1712550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Yosuke Watanuki46c86.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5379646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yosuke Watanuki49c82.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5527437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Andre Ilagan49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Yosuke Watanuki35c77.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3549943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Andre Ilagan45c72.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.796740.3%27 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Andre Ilagan55c71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.771,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Andre Ilagan50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9937255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Andre Ilagan46c65.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.379564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked Yosuke Watanuki47c64.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.546137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yosuke Watanuki48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.612,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yosuke Watanuki39c61.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.012,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Yosuke Watanuki49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7444363.4%281 W · 162 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Andre Ilagan53c56.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8549251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Yosuke Watanuki63c55.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9115570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Andre Ilagan44c54.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Andre Ilagan55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yosuke Watanuki50c53.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9339851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yosuke Watanuki52c53.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.771,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yosuke Watanuki57c52.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Yosuke Watanuki53c50.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7735349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yosuke Watanuki61c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Yosuke Watanuki48c47.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6533658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Andre Ilagan61c46.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3274646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f8…5a82backed Yosuke Watanuki54c43.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Andre Ilagan54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.553554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Yosuke Watanuki36c41.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5116258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Yosuke Watanuki39c41.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0382659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yosuke Watanuki46c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0873951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Andre Ilagan59c40.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5517242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yosuke Watanuki51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.563,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Andre Ilagan51c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5122552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Yosuke Watanuki51c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6730055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yosuke Watanuki50c35.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6953343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Andre Ilagan53c33.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9960241.2%248 W · 354 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Andre Ilagan51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yosuke Watanuki41c29.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee18…2b44backed Andre Ilagan68c29.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Andre Ilagan70c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Andre Ilagan48c26.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6473048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yosuke Watanuki56c22.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.072,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Yosuke Watanuki50c21.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7845053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yosuke Watanuki57c19.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.