Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9395dbbdad5f93fdda59d37662c5c3cff5c40a15f646cf72ae4d7fb1cb5e467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunchaokete Buof Mark Lajal, Yunchaokete Bu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Mark Lajal | 43c | 1,632$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yunchaokete Bu | 76c | 1,553$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mark Lajal | 36c | 1,306$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Mark Lajal | 22c | 959.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mark Lajal | 42c | 703.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yunchaokete Bu | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yunchaokete Bu | 63c | 625.36$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mark Lajal | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Mark Lajal | 3c | 558.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…43f6backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 504.74$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mark Lajal | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 481.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.87 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mark Lajal | 12c | 456.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mark Lajal | 42c | 413.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mark Lajal | 34c | 345.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 337.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mark Lajal | 22c | 320.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 288.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Mark Lajal | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 232.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 210.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mark Lajal | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mark Lajal | 38c | 205.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mark Lajal | 9c | 200.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Mark Lajal | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Yunchaokete Bu | 60c | 199.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 187.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 172.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Mark Lajal | 41c | 169.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 166.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Mark Lajal | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mark Lajal | 43c | 158.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Mark Lajal | 14c | 154.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Yunchaokete Bu | 76c | 141.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yunchaokete Bu | 57c | 139.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mark Lajal | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mark Lajal | 41c | 124.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mark Lajal | 44c | 124.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Mark Lajal | 44c | 118.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mark Lajal | 42c | 113.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yunchaokete Bu | 60c | 110.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 101.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…96ccbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 62c | 95.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yunchaokete Bu | 61c | 95.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 79c | 94.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yunchaokete Bu | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yunchaokete Bu | 57c | 82.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mark Lajal | 46c | 73.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Mark Lajal | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 67.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mark Lajal | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mark Lajal | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Mark Lajal | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mark Lajal | 40c | 44.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Yunchaokete Bu | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Mark Lajal | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yunchaokete Bu | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yunchaokete Bu | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yunchaokete Bu | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d272backed Yunchaokete Bu | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 56c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Yunchaokete Bu | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.