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Europa Conference League · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,998 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c1,947$781 inLost-$780.72,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes60c983.44$588 inWon+$395.7193341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes61c892$542 inWon+$350.141442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c627.7$245 inLost-$244.8777248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon+$191.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c324.33$193 inWon+$130.981,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes60c283$170 inWon+$113.26456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No39c274.77$108 inLost-$108.181,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c241.95$94 inLost-$94.3672550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes60c201.91$121 inWon+$80.769959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon+$63.939652.1%50 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon+$63.935940.7%24 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c163.93$103 inWon+$60.653,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c147.45$58 inLost-$58.311,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes60c124.97$75 inWon+$49.5720948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No39c106.05$42 inLost-$41.8327737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes60c99$59 inWon+$40.0714240.8%58 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No38c88.29$34 inLost-$33.651,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…05c8backed No36c83.33$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d24…9e78backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon+$33.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No36c83.33$30 inLost-$3055953.1%297 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No40c55.59$22 inLost-$22.2430851%157 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No39c49.99$19 inLost-$19.563649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed No40c41$16 inLost-$16.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…848dbacked Yes60c33.65$20 inWon+$13.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked No41c29.36$12 inLost-$12.043844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon+$9.192365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes60c24$14 inWon+$9.634754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes68c20.43$14 inWon+$6.5431148.2%150 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.