Us Politics · resolved market
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebcc07c03af9faaf2de5370479db56f674082cf40af87d9177a1ab116c6a1cce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perezof Perez, Kent
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Kent | 53c | 28,187$15,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,076.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Kent | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9322backed Kent | 49c | 16,650$8,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,158.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…9d26backed Perez | 51c | 16,650$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…d498backed Kent | 49c | 16,650$8,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,158.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…7ca2backed Perez | 51c | 16,650$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…793dbacked Kent | 49c | 16,650$8,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,158.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…f21fbacked Perez | 51c | 16,650$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…df6bbacked Perez | 80c | 15,430$12,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed Perez | 43c | 12,709$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,184.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Kent | 58c | 12,527$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…c923backed Perez | 51c | 11,160$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…cae0backed Kent | 49c | 11,160$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a891backed Perez | 54c | 10,500$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…6d43backed Kent | 46c | 10,500$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed Perez | 50c | 6,731$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Perez | 80c | 4,998$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.63 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Perez | 44c | 3,495$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Perez | 42c | 3,400$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.63 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Perez | 45c | 3,166$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.35 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Kent | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Perez | 50c | 2,942$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Perez | 45c | 2,328$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Perez | 79c | 2,160$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…6ab9backed Kent | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…10dbbacked Perez | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Perez | 43c | 1,480$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Kent | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.23 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Kent | 26c | 1,090$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Perez | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1171backed Kent | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Perez | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Perez | 80c | 948$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Kent | 46c | 929.38$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kent | 45c | 798.69$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed Kent | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Perez | 58c | 694.44$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Perez | 46c | 605.68$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Kent | 52c | 591.37$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.51 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Perez | 48c | 549.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Perez | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Perez | 46c | 523$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Perez | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Perez | 80c | 490.13$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Perez | 48c | 464.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Perez | 43c | 460.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Perez | 58c | 460.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.9 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…baf5backed Perez | 43c | 457.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Perez | 48c | 449.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Kent | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Kent | 46c | 358.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…f6bebacked Kent | 64c | 329.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed Perez | 44c | 326.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Kent | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Kent | 49c | 290.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Perez | 42c | 257.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed Perez | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1a4dbacked Kent | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Kent | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Perez | 46c | 236.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed Perez | 40c | 223$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…624bbacked Kent | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Kent | 44c | 221.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5435…40a5backed Kent | 55c | 202.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…93fabacked Perez | 45c | 200.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…d797backed Kent | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…2de2backed Kent | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…b414backed Kent | 44c | 171.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…a1edbacked Perez | 56c | 171.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…26b0backed Kent | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Kent | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed Kent | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…bdcbbacked Perez | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…175abacked Perez | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…7974backed Perez | 54c | 102.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Perez | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bc…acd1backed Perez | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…49e6backed Kent | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Kent | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Perez | 51c | 88.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…c8cfbacked Kent | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…f0a1backed Perez | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…4043backed Kent | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…33b3backed Perez | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bb…063bbacked Perez | 80c | 69.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Kent | 44c | 57.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Kent | 57c | 54.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…76f2backed Kent | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Perez | 46c | 51.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed Perez | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…0a64backed Kent | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Perez | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…f7fabacked Kent | 54c | 48.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…d36abacked Perez | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…58d6backed Perez | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…866dbacked Kent | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…3941backed Perez | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Perez | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…191fbacked Kent | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…2138backed Kent | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.