NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdb825ec3b0871aa79db93ee7a5c37c8d888b47523c04f185c1e429df07fd97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Raptors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Lakers | 70c | 19,022$13,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.37 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Raptors | 1c | 15,760$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 34c | 6,788$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.12 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…bdb6backed Raptors | 17c | 4,430$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Lakers | 72c | 4,166$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.66 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Raptors | 10c | 3,694$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Raptors | 7c | 3,673$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Lakers | 66c | 3,380$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 28c | 3,099$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.76 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raptors | 50c | 2,834$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.64 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Raptors | 15c | 2,600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors | 27c | 2,401$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.71 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 34c | 2,130$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.07 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Lakers | 74c | 2,045$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 15c | 1,835$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.06 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Raptors | 22c | 1,581$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raptors | 13c | 1,490$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 20c | 1,295$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 15c | 1,233$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Raptors | 17c | 1,214$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raptors | 35c | 1,136$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 16c | 1,095$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Raptors | 3c | 1,049$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Raptors | 29c | 1,022$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…dfcabacked Raptors | 11c | 1,005$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Raptors | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Raptors | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…fc1cbacked Raptors | 17c | 970.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…72e6backed Raptors | 27c | 897.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Lakers | 72c | 830.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Raptors | 12c | 793.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Lakers | 70c | 764.16$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…80bebacked Raptors | 19c | 757.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…ba2dbacked Raptors | 27c | 741.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 24c | 643.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5478…cf6dbacked Raptors | 42c | 633.16$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Raptors | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…8868backed Raptors | 35c | 595.23$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Raptors | 16c | 575.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors | 38c | 553.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Raptors | 17c | 480$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…348abacked Raptors | 19c | 474.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…4700backed Raptors | 17c | 462$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 18c | 447.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Lakers | 70c | 447.42$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 27c | 446.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Raptors | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Raptors | 39c | 419.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Raptors | 36c | 376.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…d98fbacked Raptors | 43c | 371.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…0e5dbacked Raptors | 41c | 357.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Lakers | 60c | 333.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Raptors | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…67ebbacked Raptors | 18c | 322.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…7132backed Raptors | 19c | 310.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…ef94backed Raptors | 26c | 303.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Raptors | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Raptors | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…e351backed Raptors | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Lakers | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Raptors | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers | 68c | 295.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…8fbdbacked Raptors | 4c | 295.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Raptors | 16c | 288.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…204dbacked Raptors | 17c | 288.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 4c | 284.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 23c | 280.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…1b12backed Raptors | 15c | 269.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Lakers | 63c | 266.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Raptors | 28c | 251.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers | 65c | 250.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Raptors | 23c | 234.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…f5e1backed Raptors | 30c | 233.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lakers | 70c | 229.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Raptors | 18c | 227.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raptors | 15c | 223.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Raptors | 24c | 217.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Raptors | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Raptors | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Lakers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Lakers | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Raptors | 25c | 186.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…9a8fbacked Lakers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…a4e2backed Raptors | 18c | 172.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Lakers | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed Raptors | 24c | 162.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…f400backed Raptors | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Raptors | 15c | 154.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Lakers | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…2503backed Raptors | 41c | 147.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…191fbacked Raptors | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Raptors | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…4157backed Lakers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed Raptors | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked Raptors | 28c | 132.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Lakers | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…dff4backed Raptors | 40c | 129.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Raptors | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.