Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3f8b332c1f46c06898fc7224f6e3744e93afe642da014ea0fa18c0e0483cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karen Khachanovof Roberto Bautista Agut, Karen Khachanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 10c | 7,152$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 3,993$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.31 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 10c | 3,280$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 10c | 2,099$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 11c | 1,381$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 23c | 1,323$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Karen Khachanov | 74c | 1,136$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.49 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 15c | 1,126$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Karen Khachanov | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Karen Khachanov | 76c | 950$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 13c | 773.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 2c | 737$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 13c | 680.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 646$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 597.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 578$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 20c | 547.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 494$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 14c | 470$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 12c | 417.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 24c | 308.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 12c | 284$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 22c | 266.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 265.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 259$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 225.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Karen Khachanov | 74c | 168.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 10c | 136.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…1a9ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 13c | 95.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Karen Khachanov | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Karen Khachanov | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 59.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Karen Khachanov | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 54.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…2c27backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 52.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 23c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 44.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Karen Khachanov | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 25c | 40.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…e97abacked Karen Khachanov | 76c | 39.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…bbaabacked Karen Khachanov | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Karen Khachanov | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanovthis page
- Agut vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Agut vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)Khachanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.