WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed32d0d5e1fa93fc2775bdb1e98c6eea9f9099a33d8dcded1525b0eda4d4162a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Toronto Tempo, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 12,677$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.47 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 9,054$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 6,837$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.08 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 6,163$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 5,590$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 3,434$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.57 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,458$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.14 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,005$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,599$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.82 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,286$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,276$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.93 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.16 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 896.15$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 376.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 324.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 301.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 219.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 183.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 166$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 164.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 135.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 75.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 69.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 68.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 43.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 38.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…d295backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto TempoPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.