WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21e07e5a7bfd1691b8deb3e3d974c3d7f97df8984bb33acfba02521be882bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Toronto Tempo, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 4,951$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Tempo | 59c | 3,081$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.19 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 2,147$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 2,013$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.82 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,582$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.29 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 1,542$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,413$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.08 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,314$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.37 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 1,087$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.47 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 954.84$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 812.24$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 715.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 682.86$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.95 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 568.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.65 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 425.41$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 388.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.91 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 338$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 325.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 234.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 186.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 158.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 138.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…3104backed Toronto Tempo | 65c | 121.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 113$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 105.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 99.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 91.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 82.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 68.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…cf36backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 63.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 60.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 52.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 40.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Toronto Tempo | 40c | 36.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Toronto Tempo | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Toronto Tempo | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 27.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 62c | 20.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto TempoPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.