Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedeb2723cbd9c12293e09d175fba491e874e0ac1853ab518a28be9d905f68e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 44c | 992.75$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.05 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 13c | 470.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 437.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 49c | 406.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 52c | 391$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 45c | 390.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 274.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 240.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 56c | 234.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 57c | 221.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…baa0backed Yes | 51c | 217.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 195.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 32c | 188.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 186.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 186.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 148.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 18c | 146.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 132.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 15c | 108.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 34c | 105.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 103.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 100.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 29c | 100.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 88.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 25c | 75.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 33c | 70.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 68.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 63.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked Yes | 22c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 60.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 63c | 57.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…0edebacked No | 74c | 56.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 75c | 53.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 79c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 52c | 48.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 46c | 42.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 41.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 40.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 53c | 40.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 72c | 37.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 70c | 37.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 33.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 31.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 53c | 29.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 50c | 25.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 66c | 25.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 46c | 22.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 64c | 21.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 50c | 20.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88c…f906backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 53c | 19.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 65°F or below on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.