TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Christopher O'Connellof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Christopher O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc547…c7f0backed Christopher O'Connell67c29,252$19,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,662.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Christopher O'Connell63c21,266$13,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,961.263246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer36c20,000$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.635933.9%20 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c8,956$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.3911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer12c7,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer21c7,476$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.519,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer35c6,105$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.253,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer6c5,503$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.254,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer22c4,499$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.594,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer36c2,227$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.071,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c1,916$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.0836434.3%125 W · 239 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Christopher O'Connell62c1,911$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c1,750$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Christopher O'Connell67c1,357$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7231056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41636838.3%141 W · 227 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c1,146$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.282,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c997$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0456927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c858.51$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.571,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer35c799.88$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.412,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Christopher O'Connell58c737.86$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.91,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer14c625.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.691,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Christopher O'Connell67c618.55$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1729152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer36c560.94$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9415546.5%72 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c533.41$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0343359.6%258 W · 175 L+26.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedec…3b5fbacked Christopher O'Connell57c524.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.65950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Christopher O'Connell67c492.54$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.541,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c484.9$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4141748.2%201 W · 216 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Christopher O'Connell68c473.34$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.576,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer27c456.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.68,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer10c449.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6256926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer8c385.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9811729.1%34 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025957.5%149 W · 110 L+16.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Christopher O'Connell56c349.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4225852.7%136 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Christopher O'Connell61c342.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7418444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer10c314.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1927832.4%90 W · 188 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer17c307.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5657841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Christopher O'Connell63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer23c299.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Christopher O'Connell71c274.1$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.584,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer34c274.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.243652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer35c241.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.738148.3%184 W · 197 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Christopher O'Connell79c226.74$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1320624.8%51 W · 155 L-20.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer30c218.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.232,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer19c210.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.856149.2%30 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885534.5%19 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Christopher O'Connell61c198.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2665250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c195$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer35c181$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.356952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Christopher O'Connell62c177.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4228754.7%157 W · 130 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer25c162.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7453946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Christopher O'Connell71c157.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.229,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Christopher O'Connell63c155.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4149943.1%215 W · 284 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer27c152.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc8…c4f4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer31c132.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.131050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer34c120.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9174654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c103.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1719948.7%97 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c101.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.983,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226330.8%81 W · 182 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c80.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.213,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212654.8%69 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7216653.6%89 W · 77 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9545752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Christopher O'Connell78c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4529752.9%157 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a35…d6f9backed Christopher O'Connell63c61.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c61.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4514060.7%85 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Christopher O'Connell61c60.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.594355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer24c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.490834.1%310 W · 598 L-43.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.735,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Christopher O'Connell76c53.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Christopher O'Connell57c52.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3440663.8%259 W · 147 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Christopher O'Connell69c50.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c44.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Christopher O'Connell63c41.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2730969.6%215 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer28c38.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Christopher O'Connell57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0937060%222 W · 148 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.056254.8%34 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Christopher O'Connell60c33.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3441664.4%268 W · 148 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e7f…64b7backed Christopher O'Connell63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Christopher O'Connell60c23.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2773453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Christopher O'Connell69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.314496.5%139 W · 5 L+36.7wins+0.25per pick71cpaid+34.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Christopher O'Connell70c14.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.