TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Palma Del Rio: Ayla Aksu vs Celia Cervino Ruiz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ayla Aksuof Ayla Aksu, Celia Cervino Ruiz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Celia Cervino Ruiz25c8,000$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.442131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Ayla Aksu76c4,123$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.649252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu76c3,147$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc92…649dbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz14c2,205$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009118.7%17 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Ayla Aksu75c1,915$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.713752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz32c1,573$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.862,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ayla Aksu78c1,137$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Celia Cervino Ruiz36c999.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.452,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Celia Cervino Ruiz14c847.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Celia Cervino Ruiz21c668.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.932,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ayla Aksu48c599.67$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.911,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ayla Aksu46c491.64$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.445,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ayla Aksu75c463.84$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.966,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ayla Aksu44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz22c389.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Celia Cervino Ruiz21c363.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0735450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ayla Aksu55c355.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.126,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ayla Aksu44c281.93$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.961,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ayla Aksu47c270.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.042,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Ayla Aksu77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7413449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Celia Cervino Ruiz27c226.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Celia Cervino Ruiz17c226$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.172,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Ayla Aksu44c225$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0973951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Ayla Aksu75c219.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.342,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Celia Cervino Ruiz29c202.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x367d…7312backed Ayla Aksu76c188.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Ayla Aksu75c187$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Ayla Aksu45c178.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.382,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Celia Cervino Ruiz21c154.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.254,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Celia Cervino Ruiz21c149.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.41,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Celia Cervino Ruiz27c141.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.831,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Ayla Aksu75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3572755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Ayla Aksu76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5814547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Ayla Aksu76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5811949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Ayla Aksu77c128.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.671,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Celia Cervino Ruiz16c126.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2355032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Ayla Aksu78c123.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.275549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ayla Aksu40c105.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.421,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Ayla Aksu72c101.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.261,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Celia Cervino Ruiz15c90.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6152910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Ayla Aksu53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.912,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Ayla Aksu27c79.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.983537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ayla Aksu65c75.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.696,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Ayla Aksu72c75.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9630554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz16c70.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.463,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ayla Aksu66c69.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.355,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Ayla Aksu75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6739451.8%204 W · 190 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Ayla Aksu75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6792355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Ayla Aksu75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6728557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ayla Aksu75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6749056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Ayla Aksu75c64.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Ayla Aksu78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Celia Cervino Ruiz23c63.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bf…a572backed Ayla Aksu79c62.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0819977.4%154 W · 45 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ayla Aksu55c60.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.884,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Celia Cervino Ruiz22c52.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Ayla Aksu75c51.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9814150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Celia Cervino Ruiz20c51.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810146.5%47 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Celia Cervino Ruiz28c46.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb868…5e23backed Ayla Aksu74c42.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.145651.8%29 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Ayla Aksu74c40.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4262549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Ayla Aksu75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ayla Aksu74c39.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Ayla Aksu78c38.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3624557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Ayla Aksu61c38.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8237156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Ayla Aksu75c37.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4275350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Celia Cervino Ruiz53c37.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Ayla Aksu46c33.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8817341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Ayla Aksu75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2527353.1%145 W · 128 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Celia Cervino Ruiz55c32.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ayla Aksu59c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Celia Cervino Ruiz41c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.715435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Ayla Aksu77c29.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5733661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8578backed Ayla Aksu74c28.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Ayla Aksu78c25.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.586940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ayla Aksu70c23.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2366834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b3…d0eebacked Ayla Aksu75c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.013253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Ayla Aksu65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0737255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Ayla Aksu64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.236053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Ayla Aksu64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Ayla Aksu80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Ayla Aksu71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7d…8b5abacked Ayla Aksu76c17.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Ayla Aksu75c16.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1655149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ayla Aksu74c16.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Ayla Aksu75c16.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0240350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Ayla Aksu75c15.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9665259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d1a…e8a4backed Ayla Aksu78c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.