Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01e6f974790d3233b29ff9a9585da5b706ba258722da1c9db09723956c0c965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 3,777$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.66 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,776$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 68c | 2,387$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.21 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 66c | 1,968$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.97 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 28c | 1,197$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,096$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 73c | 1,029$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.94 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 74c | 895.81$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 74c | 880$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 845.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 31c | 799.36$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 28c | 555.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 538.4$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 73c | 487$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 17c | 485.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 28c | 364.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 361.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 314.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 10c | 258.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 71c | 250.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 31c | 237.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 15c | 230.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 189.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 188.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 30c | 188.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 32c | 173.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 14c | 160.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 22c | 154.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 9c | 146.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…451abacked Yes | 48c | 141.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…1851backed Yes | 48c | 140.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 21c | 129.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 72c | 128.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 23c | 125.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 43c | 117.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 24c | 112.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 33c | 100.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 99.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…0ca2backed Yes | 37c | 95.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 94.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 91.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 27c | 74.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 35c | 71.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 18c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…5710backed Yes | 29c | 57.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 34c | 53.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…95e1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 49.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 32c | 47.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 42.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 40.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 35c | 37.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 80c | 36.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…ddfebacked No | 72c | 30.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 27.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…f63abacked No | 72c | 25.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 60c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 51c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 60c | 17.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 63c | 16.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.