Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf185ecff5a5c66ee2331fd6bd841622c97f719609f8916dd16423dc44712baaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 975.51$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.25 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 49c | 502.26$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 47c | 464.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 20c | 438.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.03 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 36c | 398.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 8c | 375.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 280.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 247$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 218.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 196.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 26c | 177.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 49 | 91.8%45 W · 4 L | +18.2wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 77+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 59 | 93.2%55 W · 4 L | +21.7wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 79c | 160$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +10.4wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 59c | 145.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 42c | 135.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 128.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 50c | 127.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 60c | 123$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 117.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 49c | 95.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 61c | 90.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 56c | 87.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 48c | 83.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 55c | 77.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 79c | 77.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 64c | 66.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 66.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 60.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 29c | 60.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 59.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked No | 53c | 56.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 49c | 55.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 42c | 52.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 58c | 52.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 26c | 51.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 48c | 50.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 47.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 63c | 46.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…78f8backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 47c | 45.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 32c | 45.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 48c | 42.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 54c | 40.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 40c | 40.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 54c | 40.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 54c | 39.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 50c | 39.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 42c | 39.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 30c | 36.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 46c | 36.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 48c | 35.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…ff8fbacked No | 63c | 33.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 29.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 50c | 28.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 56c | 28.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 74c | 27.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 58c | 26.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…64dabacked Yes | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 54c | 22.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 58c | 22.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 66c | 20.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 72c | 20.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.