Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf234e50465c63d804adaa456518b52d46f60cd411741374a634547e4cf12bf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 703.46$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 600.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Yes | 25c | 490$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 387.77$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 328.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 158.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 46c | 132.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 32c | 113.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…52fdbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 76c | 100.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 75c | 96.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 90.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…eb31backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…4225backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 52.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 51.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 77c | 40.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…8557backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…74e9backed Yes | 73c | 34.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 67c | 23.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Second half draw?Yes won
- Norway to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.