Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa049930e68da6ef2f275f391a67adc97f241c2924bfa6981724d7a30f15beeaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 2,793$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 36c | 800.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.18 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 58c | 445.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 56c | 445$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 44c | 445$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 426.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 61c | 414.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 55c | 268.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 199.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 179$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 39c | 125.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 122.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 45c | 110.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 63c | 52.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 42.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 39.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 36.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…8407backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 64c | 27.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Second half draw?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?No won
- Norway to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.