Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d00b8b33c7bf61d2c86cd69635c40b7158ffc9638c24316a24ac64afbc5553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 40c | 5,487$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.73 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 2,376$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 60c | 2,064$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.29 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,354$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 1,329$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 1,016$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 903.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 23c | 765.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 741.81$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 33c | 621.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 68c | 559.95$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 27c | 278$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 66c | 272$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 257$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 247.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 226.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…2ea1backed Yes | 33c | 156.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…ce17backed Yes | 34c | 145.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 14c | 128.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 127$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 122$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 121$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 61c | 114.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 17c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 64c | 78.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 38c | 74.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…0489backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 75c | 57.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 56.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…8d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 52.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 33c | 50.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…342abacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…09e6backed Yes | 40c | 45.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 66c | 42.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…69e2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…a170backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to win the second half?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.