Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23ff8a7ff54efb7df5173d19f7613b3bd2b4efac57818575e0ddf0b732d1153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus Bolognaof BC Dubai, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked BC Dubai | 69c | 5,570$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai | 71c | 4,005$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.82 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 31c | 2,182$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.45 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus Bologna | 32c | 2,084$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.49 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Virtus Bologna | 78c | 1,719$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.09 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 1,600$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed BC Dubai | 50c | 1,596$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.22 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked BC Dubai | 60c | 1,334$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed BC Dubai | 4c | 1,279$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 69c | 1,227$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virtus Bologna | 48c | 1,208$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.35 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked BC Dubai | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 56c | 1,163$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.94 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Virtus Bologna | 69c | 1,153$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 1,074$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.44 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 1,028$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.03 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Virtus Bologna | 32c | 869.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virtus Bologna | 74c | 806.68$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 65c | 671$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.04 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked BC Dubai | 14c | 610$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 592$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.64 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 589$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.63 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Virtus Bologna | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 31c | 371.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus Bologna | 48c | 313.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus Bologna | 52c | 270$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed BC Dubai | 70c | 232.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 224.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed BC Dubai | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Virtus Bologna | 34c | 201.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 150.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus Bologna | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed BC Dubai | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Virtus Bologna | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed BC Dubai | 67c | 116$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked BC Dubai | 57c | 98.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed BC Dubai | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed BC Dubai | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 70.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…88d8backed BC Dubai | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed BC Dubai | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed BC Dubai | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed BC Dubai | 68c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed BC Dubai | 71c | 55.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 55.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed BC Dubai | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Virtus Bologna | 47c | 54.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed BC Dubai | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Virtus Bologna | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked BC Dubai | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Virtus Bologna | 45c | 33.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Virtus Bologna | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed BC Dubai | 68c | 28.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Virtus Bologna | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Virtus Bologna | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked BC Dubai | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BC Dubai | 68c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…2848backed BC Dubai | 60c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Virtus Bologna | 69c | 17.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed BC Dubai | 66c | 15.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.