Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27ef985d9ff079d09f2cde18ab8ce072af7b192a8ae084a9283866f034a14b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 4,991$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.08 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 3,174$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 3,011$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Team Tidebound | 50c | 2,200$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 1,340$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.17 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 1,258$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.57 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 617.72$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 492.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 433$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 387.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed Team Tidebound | 54c | 369.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 278.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 259.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 236.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 159.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Team Tidebound | 18c | 150.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yakult Brothers | 80c | 125.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Tidebound | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Tidebound | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Yakult Brothers | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Team Tidebound | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Tidebound | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)Team Tidebound won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.