TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: NRG Esports vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Cupid Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7933…4e10backed Cupid Esports53c24,593$13,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,010.563053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed NRG Esports47c5,037$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.4530843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG Esports49c2,092$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.851,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cupid Esports16c2,089$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.181,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed NRG Esports48c2,004$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.1935443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed NRG Esports46c1,929$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.491,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed NRG Esports60c1,570$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.438963%245 W · 144 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked NRG Esports48c1,560$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9154134.8%188 W · 353 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Cupid Esports27c1,484$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8342348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed NRG Esports49c1,447$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.0182454.9%452 W · 372 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Cupid Esports43c1,298$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.812,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed NRG Esports47c1,155$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.348838.6%34 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Cupid Esports3c1,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.774112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cupid Esports23c1,100$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.991,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Cupid Esports48c1,072$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3764243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Cupid Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Esports46c991.46$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.392,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed NRG Esports49c899.89$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6428035%98 W · 182 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed NRG Esports46c840$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.637548%180 W · 195 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports77c715.25$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.342,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed NRG Esports48c688.97$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.395750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Cupid Esports15c639.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6197254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed NRG Esports47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2942044%185 W · 235 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed NRG Esports61c632.05$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6544851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed NRG Esports48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.266059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed NRG Esports47c528.82$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3511247.3%53 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed NRG Esports79c507.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed NRG Esports79c507.41$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.461,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked NRG Esports49c497.47$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7111650.9%59 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed NRG Esports49c497.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6122742.7%97 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked NRG Esports69c496.52$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.565359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NRG Esports52c493.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8166845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports48c485.06$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2379864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NRG Esports49c477.65$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9834941.8%146 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Cupid Esports41c437.54$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.391,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked NRG Esports48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.417339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG Esports55c412.11$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.811,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed NRG Esports50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG Esports77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.651,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed NRG Esports59c367.86$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8254429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa955…7487backed Cupid Esports27c351.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed NRG Esports76c326.76$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.424875%36 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed NRG Esports50c299.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2223146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cupid Esports47c279.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0963344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Cupid Esports25c276.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked NRG Esports76c264.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2326765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed NRG Esports57c251.28$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.051,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Cupid Esports54c241.03$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.221,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked NRG Esports49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.435642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked NRG Esports47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.041,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Cupid Esports15c226.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,12930%339 W · 790 L-27.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked NRG Esports53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4210834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed NRG Esports52c215.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6424446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed NRG Esports47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed NRG Esports58c205.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2339651%202 W · 194 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Cupid Esports43c204.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9156949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked NRG Esports50c200.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471,02345.1%461 W · 562 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…2946backed Cupid Esports25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe267…eb96backed NRG Esports62c194.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.710060%60 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed NRG Esports47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.764337.2%16 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked NRG Esports47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.763748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed NRG Esports47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+92.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Cupid Esports33c191.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.352,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Cupid Esports34c186.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2855744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Cupid Esports15c182.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed NRG Esports48c173$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2446148.8%225 W · 236 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed NRG Esports59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed NRG Esports47c166.59$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.292045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Cupid Esports24c159.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1883941%344 W · 495 L-37.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked NRG Esports51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8612447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbff…b7a7backed NRG Esports47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.943560%21 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed NRG Esports51c148.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3122043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG Esports60c144.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.841,91742.3%810 W · 1,107 L-44.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed NRG Esports69c140.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6925567.8%173 W · 82 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Cupid Esports47c140.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.451,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e75…d0aabacked NRG Esports75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cupid Esports22c133$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.262,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed NRG Esports47c132.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.469841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed NRG Esports47c130.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1552743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed NRG Esports48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.676028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed NRG Esports49c129$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3614732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG Esports48c127.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.341,20643.5%525 W · 681 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Cupid Esports52c125.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6533453.9%180 W · 154 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Cupid Esports28c122$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621,05447.2%497 W · 557 L-4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked NRG Esports47c115.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.051752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed NRG Esports49c114.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6723342.9%100 W · 133 L-19.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Cupid Esports24c109.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.165822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Esports70c108.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.442,33640.4%943 W · 1,393 L-58.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…60d1backed Cupid Esports28c107.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG Esports71c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.071,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed NRG Esports75c101$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452045%234 W · 286 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed NRG Esports47c96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.884337.2%16 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Cupid Esports26c96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9684949.4%419 W · 430 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked NRG Esports47c94.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.122356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked NRG Esports56c93.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.957243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NRG Esports56c89.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked NRG Esports57c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4113041.5%54 W · 76 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Cupid Esports48c80.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8192450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed NRG Esports58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Cupid Esports51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.817241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.