NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf480adf1c942b5e4aa5ff9e51db8be777a8da7faefb80dd6da1085c3ba59ba0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Cardinals, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 4,550$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.03 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals | 27c | 4,239$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.55 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Commanders | 36c | 3,000$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.57 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Commanders | 67c | 2,988$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 38c | 2,459$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.58 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Commanders | 37c | 2,241$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.87 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,131$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Cardinals | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 11c | 1,612$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 1,485$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.46 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Commanders | 39c | 1,243$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 38c | 1,170$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.49 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Commanders | 38c | 1,000$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.94 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Cardinals | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cardinals | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Commanders | 37c | 900$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 62c | 801.93$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Commanders | 37c | 734.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Cardinals | 70c | 714.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Cardinals | 16c | 707.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Cardinals | 63c | 597.67$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 10c | 594$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Commanders | 37c | 536$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Commanders | 35c | 501$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…ba7bbacked Cardinals | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Commanders | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Cardinals | 36c | 339.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Commanders | 38c | 323.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Commanders | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…8a81backed Cardinals | 63c | 296.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Cardinals | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Commanders | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Commanders | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Cardinals | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Cardinals | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Cardinals | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Commanders | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Commanders | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…9a8abacked Cardinals | 62c | 198.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Cardinals | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 182.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cardinals | 61c | 178.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…cf7abacked Commanders | 38c | 165.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Cardinals | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Cardinals | 63c | 159.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Cardinals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Commanders | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…71acbacked Cardinals | 64c | 148.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Commanders | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Commanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Commanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…c417backed Commanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…fd7ebacked Commanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…6067backed Commanders | 38c | 131.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…b6b4backed Commanders | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Commanders | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…f460backed Commanders | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Cardinals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Cardinals | 64c | 120.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Cardinals | 61c | 119.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Cardinals | 62c | 111.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Commanders | 61c | 109.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…0d32backed Commanders | 38c | 105.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…45e0backed Commanders | 37c | 103.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Commanders | 38c | 101$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Commanders | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…3f09backed Commanders | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2b67backed Commanders | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…618dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…f60abacked Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…f87ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…1241backed Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ad…6421backed Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6126…54dbbacked Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…eb92backed Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…c0f6backed Cardinals | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Commanders | 63c | 99.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…c7e8backed Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b807backed Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…67eebacked Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c85…b7fdbacked Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…1787backed Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…f05dbacked Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…0bc9backed Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…65a2backed Commanders | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Cardinals | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Commanders | 38c | 94.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Cardinals | 64c | 92.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Commanders | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Cardinals | 31c | 91.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Cardinals | 36c | 82.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…9b8bbacked Cardinals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Commanders | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Commanders | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…8b7dbacked Commanders | 38c | 69.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Commanders | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…a64cbacked Cardinals | 63c | 65.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Commanders | 38c | 65.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.