Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6505718f33e9fe8f464dd296ce21c379cb31f8689b832b1be31dd780aed925c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Supernova | 37c | 6,870$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.82 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked NRG Esports | 63c | 4,739$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.55 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Supernova | 11c | 1,186$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG Esports | 63c | 1,182$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed NRG Esports | 63c | 977.8$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Supernova | 37c | 973.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 206 | 35.4%73 W · 133 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Supernova | 34c | 925.49$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Supernova | 39c | 902.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Supernova | 37c | 857.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked NRG Esports | 63c | 738.54$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…a040backed Supernova | 12c | 719.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Supernova | 38c | 704.36$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Supernova | 36c | 697.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.24 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed NRG Esports | 61c | 541.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed NRG Esports | 61c | 499.86$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked NRG Esports | 68c | 498.36$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Supernova | 40c | 495.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…371bbacked NRG Esports | 64c | 484.31$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked NRG Esports | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 242 | 27.7%67 W · 175 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Supernova | 27c | 468.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked NRG Esports | 63c | 414.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NRG Esports | 63c | 395.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed NRG Esports | 61c | 385.44$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Supernova | 38c | 348.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Supernova | 14c | 297.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked NRG Esports | 62c | 297.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked NRG Esports | 63c | 287.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Supernova | 38c | 246.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed NRG Esports | 61c | 243.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Supernova | 19c | 228.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed NRG Esports | 62c | 208.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked NRG Esports | 64c | 182.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Supernova | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NRG Esports | 63c | 156.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked NRG Esports | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Supernova | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Supernova | 13c | 138.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 707 | 44.1%312 W · 395 L | -22.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…c2a4backed NRG Esports | 75c | 136.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 17 | 100%17 W · 0 L | +5.8wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Supernova | 19c | 134.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…1868backed Supernova | 49c | 132.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Supernova | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed NRG Esports | 62c | 123.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed NRG Esports | 65c | 121.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Supernova | 22c | 117.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked Supernova | 17c | 108.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Supernova | 11c | 103.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NRG Esports | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed NRG Esports | 80c | 83.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NRG Esports | 60c | 79.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed NRG Esports | 61c | 78.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Supernova | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed NRG Esports | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Supernova | 13c | 74.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked NRG Esports | 45c | 66.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed NRG Esports | 61c | 55.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG Esports | 61c | 55.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked NRG Esports | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Supernova | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed NRG Esports | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Supernova | 38c | 47.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked NRG Esports | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked NRG Esports | 56c | 36.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked NRG Esports | 63c | 36.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Supernova | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked NRG Esports | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked NRG Esports | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…a846backed NRG Esports | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…9ecdbacked NRG Esports | 76c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…984cbacked Supernova | 63c | 20.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed NRG Esports | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 172 | 62.2%107 W · 65 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.