Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf755f7f278a9596bd1c3019bb943a9584a926495320b617b25fc4b8eb679e400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 30c | 20,000$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,579$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.06 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,455$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.25 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 70c | 2,035$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,748$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.48 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 1,299$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 832.07$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.62 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Yes | 29c | 674.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 651.45$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 550.67$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Yes | 29c | 444.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 389.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 71c | 368.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 341.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 80c | 313.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 286$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 71c | 280.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 20c | 188.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 160.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 151.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 129$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 35c | 120.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 15c | 106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 28c | 102.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…df0ebacked Yes | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 22c | 63.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 60.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…54eabacked No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Yes | 24c | 43.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 71c | 40.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 77c | 38.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 79c | 31.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…7e1cbacked No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed No | 72c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…2645backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.