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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c25,000$5,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,810.9323736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes41c20,000$8,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,840.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No58c7,811$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.561,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes15c4,014$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.5111926.1%31 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes73c3,007$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.5733442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No58c2,412$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.9625141%103 W · 148 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c1,972$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.1177248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c1,655$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.32,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes40c1,513$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c1,498$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.781,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c1,436$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.191,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c1,428$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.681,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c1,201$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.973,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No61c1,196$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes37c1,000$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63572550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6408446.4%39 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Yes33c900.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.15825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No60c819.67$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No59c735$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6514434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No14c690.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.677932.9%26 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes73c590.73$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8565943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No12c574.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.72927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15c…6122backed No9c412.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.941723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No62c390$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4522644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c327.08$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.71,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No62c320.96$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19917252.9%91 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes38c319.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3219355.4%107 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No60c305$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No71c279.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2f…318bbacked No73c268.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes63c206.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3713731.4%43 W · 94 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12412351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No37c196.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.598648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c184.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8876356.1%428 W · 335 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Yes36c182.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.517458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes42c163.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6232636.5%119 W · 207 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062181%17 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes34c140.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes67c120.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6193341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No43c105.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes64c102$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.38955.1%49 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.549555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4963649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes75c98.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.239852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes38c96.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4276037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes40c91.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0520948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes54c89.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2754353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes35c87.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5811367.3%76 W · 37 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c85.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1763249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No58c79.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.084663%29 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.57156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c71.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6520440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No42c71.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes36c65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d161backed Yes41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No58c59.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.766454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c54.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9189153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2917447.7%83 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed No62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No62c47.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.541947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No59c41.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5142957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed No58c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…a4f2backed No72c40.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c37.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0585142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x577a…a587backed No60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes40c32.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.514749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Yes37c32.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.493844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd0…8788backed No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bed…3dcabacked No60c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No46c25.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.723151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f3…c324backed No58c25.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No59c24.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.355141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.863860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.416235.2%57 W · 105 L-25.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No58c18.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0133142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No59c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6211257.1%64 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc5…5c2dbacked No59c17.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No70c17.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0221351.6%110 W · 103 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes65c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.734754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.