Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f40fc4c9bdb7e7cd3cfa55fda1b27f74cc18c83ddf4dad5c3e31c6e5283e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 39c | 1,237$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 847.96$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 824.93$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 33c | 757.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 721.28$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 62c | 627.77$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 40c | 467.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 32c | 403$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 30c | 397.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 77c | 379$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 62c | 369.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 16c | 329.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 66c | 301.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 32c | 287.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 61c | 250.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 34c | 231.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 229.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 69c | 215.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 52c | 204.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 201.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 64c | 188.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed No | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 157.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 156.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 143.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 32c | 131.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 117.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed No | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 65c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 38c | 89.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 62c | 87.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 67c | 81.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 65c | 66.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 60.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…5683backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 35c | 55.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 59c | 44.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 65c | 35.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…0fd7backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 36c | 31.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 61c | 27.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 68c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…1ee9backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 60c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…1a6abacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed No | 75c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.