La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77e7b385b8515517c3d56cbfe207832ebb346c735c4886468d0bcbc40d709e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 4,480$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.65 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,260$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,160$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Yes | 2c | 887.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 852.91$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 722.73$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.85 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 620.53$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 54c | 607.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 560.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 47c | 438.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 397.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 142.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 121.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 39c | 98.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 96.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 47c | 85.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 15c | 75.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 46c | 65.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 47c | 49.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 31c | 47.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 52c | 46.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 37.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d6debacked Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 30.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 30.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 27.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 56c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 56c | 21.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.